Wednesday, July 15, 2015

If No Iran Deal Now Netanyahu, Then When?

Regardless of what the talking heads in Washington will tell you, this Iran deal is good for America, good for the next president and good for society. The last four  countries with similar nuclear deals cheated the deal and arrived through back door maneuvers, and eventually the same thing could happen with Iran, but that is a right to bear arms debate for another blog. 


Isolation and further sanctions are options with certain outcomes because economic war or real war have anticipated results.  Economic war worked miserably in Cuba, and even Netanyahu and his republican colleagues in America are afraid of real war with Iran.


Unconditional negotiations were promised by Obama the Senator candidate for president, and unconditional negotiations; combined with strong worldwide support with sanctions, created an Iran willing to talk.

If you follow history's script, Iran's hate for Israel and America has created a segment of the population in Iran that publicly preach US hate.  If you turn history back a few pages, you will find state sponsorship of the Confederate flag in America and white hooded men who were allowed to burn crosses and speak hate towards blacks, Jews, gays and even America by waving the flag of the losing army.

Actually, that segment of America just created Dylann Roof so no need to flip the page at all. It also pushed the South Carolina legislature to get their Confederate flag down quickly because the white hooded guys still ride, still speak hate, and had a date to rally around that South Carolina flag one more time.

Hate groups in America have risen during the Obama years but Iran never used it as a reason to not negotiate; though it could be impacting those hate rallies we see televised from Iran. The entire world community stands at the ready for war with Russia over Ukraine, yet no one imagined accomplishing the sanctions or these negotiations without Russia- no pre-conditions on Putin.

China is China. The fact that we do business in China given the nature of the Cold War rhetoric that I grew up hearing is remarkable, although capitalism made the marriage of these nations inevitable. The Iran deal included China's involvement........China!!

Iran has American hostages, we have Guantanamo Bay and nobody loves Russia or China except China and Russia. There will always be elements of perception that each of the six nations negatively hold towards one another- but business is business.

Capitalism now demands that Iran not only get involved in the suppression of ISIS and nuclear weapons, but get involved with the proliferation of the TPP since Iran, and Cuba by the way, fall along the pathway of TPP commerce.  Normalized relationships might look like legacy points for Obama, but they need to go in the column of economic successes before they will ever be accepted as the diplomatic achievements that are mostly debatable right now, especially if Iran cheats like all the others have.


The bigger question for the Iran deal is still Netanyahu. What will he do given the fact that Congress needs too many Democrats to avoid the veto strength of the president? When pressed hard during a recent NPR interview (Morning Edition), Netanyahu admitted that this deal or no deal actually changes nothing. Israel will have to protect themselves from any perception of aggression from Iran whether we have access to monitor their nuclear program or not.


Which makes any opposition to monitoring downright idiotic. A nation that can never be trusted does not become more trustworthy after anger and frustration persist through sanctions. In fact, a nation that gets pulled deeply into the proliferation of capitalism cannot be trusted either. Iran will soon be seeking to kill US with trade deals instead of car bombs.

Just ask Donald.


Postscript: My brother Obama is late...again, to the announcement of the historic nuclear deal with Iran.
Keep it real my ninja...keep it real.

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