Friday, November 28, 2014

Brian Shaw Must Overcome Several Obstacles To Overcome Critics

Coaches don't make marketing plans.  Coaches do their best to justify them.  7 games into the season, the Denver Nuggets had only captured one win, but answered a million questions.

Strength In Numbers?  Give us a break.
Number one.  Scrap the stupid marketing plan because the only strength in numbers this season comes from the numbers on Coach Brian Shaw's eye test as he will need the eyesight to see through the forest of options and find the correct 6-8 players on any given night and insure they get proper playing time.  While actually playing legit defense, every NBA team could stand to go 10 deep, so long as those 4-5 backups realize they are serving a unique purpose.  For this rendition of the Denver Nuggets, the 4 totally realize their role, but it's the 6 that can't seem to get it together.

After receiving loss number 7 to the Cleveland Cavaliers- another game that we could have won- I started to realize why the wheels on this car struggled with traction early on.  The 4 are better than the 6.  Watching this team play this season has been an interesting adventure, but watching who doesn't play at the end of games is beyond an adventure, it is a prelude to what every basketball player should respect most about the game of basketball.

The short jump shot has returned in the Nuggets draftee Erick Green
Basketball is not about starting, it is about the players who are on the court to finish the game. Despite the resurgence from the Bird/Magic-MIKE heyday of the 80's and 90's, smart basketball fans still do not stress themselves on the first 3 quarters of an NBA game because these quarter are inconsequential and often played that way. Coaches will start just about anybody with a team uniform, but only certain players will ever be trusted to handle the delicate duties of end game execution.  Alonzo Gee- one of the Denver Nuggets new Fantastic Four- has been closing out games from day one so we will leave his bio until the end.  Jusuf Nurkic, the second of  the noteworthy backups, began the season as the first off of the bench but earned an opportunity to close out a game against LeBron and the Cleveland Cavaliers before Timofey Mosgov, Javale McGee forced him back into hiding.  It may take another injury or a trade before we Nurkic returns to action, but he will return because Nurkic showed some things.
The best player Tom Izzo ever coached?

Nurkic needed the minutes and the opportunity to win the confidence of his coach while the Nuggets needed to figure out exactly what they have invested in as Nurkic is essentially the player who should have been Doug McDermott, the much applauded draft that Denver acquired for the Chicago Bulls.  Rookie guard Erick Green, the third fabulous backup, quickly won the confidence of his coach and should have also closed against the Cavs, but Brian Shaw played it safe by reinserting Aaron Afflalo to finish the game.  Inserting Afflalo to close took the ball out of the hands of a hot player with a solid short jump shot, and it probably cost the Nuggets a win that night.  In the end, it also exposed everyone to the skill set of a couple of strong draft pickups.

By "everyone" I mean the players who are playing in front of these up and coming stars.  Randy Foye showed up big during the losing stretch, especially given the slow start of Ty Lawson, but he is a strong player that remains a backup at the shooting guard and a double backup at point so long as Nate Robinson remains an unusual Nugget to figure out.

Will Jusuf Nurkic make Nuggets fans forget Doug McDermott?
Robinson could be a good addition to any game at a moment suited for his specialized skills, but playing for any team that needs ball movement or focused leadership is half of the challenge for Robinson, recovering from injuries has been the rest. Early injuries- both physical and perhaps mental- left Ty Lawson as a super no-show, so super backup guard Foye proved long term value, even if it didn't translate into victories.  Injuries and various suspensions  have actually been good for this team because Shaw needed to be able to retain his job by limiting public criticism and not simply justify marketing. No matter how perfectly he is executing the front office expectations, fans of this team are still sore over the firing of George Karl, whose 50 game regular season win standard has cast a shadow over everything considered a defiance to the Karl era.

The next generation of Nuggets don't actually need much skill development, they only need minutes.  Gary Harris and Erick Green already have more offensive courage than Lawson, who has to be constantly reminded to force his will, and his game, upon the competition.  When Lawson is right, he is an extra special player.  When Lawson is wrong- again, he makes the Nuggets coaching staff realize that Nuggets basketball will not work without an engine to drive the car. But does the front office share this assessment?

Aaron Aaflalo could prove to be a positive re-acquisition, but he is not quite as young as he used to be, so his vaunted defense is not aided by youthful legs like the players that are threatening to steal his minutes.  Aaflao's scoring behavior remains limited by an erratic and flat jumper or the hope of a sleeping defense that will let him finish at the rim.  He refuses to shoot the pull-up jumper because his shot is way too flat for consistent success at that range, so driving and passing is the only choice his game offers him. Erick Green plays a lot like coach  Shaw played on offense, with a deadly short jump shot that makes room for every other aspect of his offensive attack. Gary Harris is described by Tom Izzo, his former Michigan State coach, as "the best player he ever coached", and both his offensive and defensive intensity explains why.  Wilson Chandler and Aaron Aaflalo have suddenly started to play better and it seems to have coincided with the unveiling of their potential replacements, Green and Harris.

Coach Shaw could do his best impersonation of Aaron Rogers or LeBron James and tell Denver fans to relax, but without consistency at point guard- and the lingering need to discover if Danilo Galinari will ever live up to the promise- Shaw can't do much relaxing himself.  The miserable starting team consistently gives Shaw justification to sit a couple of those deadbeats at the end of the games in exchange for smarter defenders or more confident players.  Having capable backups has forced the entire team to play smarter, harder and with more confidence which has turned the tide for Denver, but how long can you execute a plan in which your best players are held to the final moments of the game while your starters dig a hole for their backups to fix?

In reality, nothing replaces a hearty appetite and some of the Nuggets simply haven't played hungry for a while.  Alonzo Gee is a journeyman who saw his chance to eat and gobbled up a job for himself. Jusuf Nurkic, Erick Green and Gary Harris are young, hungry and capable of pushing the starters to do number 2 or be number 2.  What concerns me is whether the concerned starters can remain focused on the mission without letting concern for their jobs be the key motivation.  Gee forced Quincy Miller out the door simply because he is hungry and he can defend anybody. Shaw consistently calls on Gee for tough defensive assignments and end game defensive pressure. If the Nuggets are succeeding it is because the heat is on the starters and the newbies are ready to eat.

Hungry players must be fed while the well fed must be reminded of what it means to be hungry. As for the marketing plan?  "Strength In Numbers" sounds like a great marketing plan, but it is likely an advertisement of players whose days in the Nugget uniform will be dictated by how well the coach inspires and markets the talent.

If Shaw can groom the future, groom and prepare the excess cattle for market and actually win enough games to justify his understanding of winning in the NBA, he will have accomplished a lot for Denver and for the future hopes of winning a crown.  If he finally silences the Karl loving critics of his, he will surely be the last man standing, smiling on the stage with the crown in hand.

Friday, November 7, 2014

Coach Fox and Coach Manning Confess Their Faults. Is Father John Watching?

Analyzing coach speak is an art of a particular kind.  Sometimes you are forced to digest the bits and pieces of crumbs that come from the tight fisted, poker players like Belichick in New England or like John Fox used to be before last weeks butt kicking by the Patriots.

When you do a proper assessment of the Broncos, you have to listen closely to all of the coaches because they don't actually share a unified voice out in dove valley.  Their head coach and dude in charge, #18, has loads of NFL records including being the quarterback to run for the fewest yards in the history of earth.  He may seem unflappable at times, but he uses his distinguished accomplishments to snub his nose at the critics.  My point is not to deny Peyton Manning the right to snub his nose at me or anybody who denies his greatness.  My assessment of this coach is that, good or bad, he is listening to everything that is being said about him.

What does that mean?

"Running the ball is football religion.  Nothing is more
powerful than something you can not stop." - Elwayian Proverb
If Manning has decided to NEVER run the ball HIMSELF, it is a conscious snub for certain.  Had Manning NEVER won a Superbowl like his coach John Fox, he might be compelled to listen to him. He does not.

Or maybe he does, in which case Fox is overriding Adam Gase, the Offensive Coordinator who notoriously met Manning out on field several weeks ago because he kept emptying the backfield and  declaring the run game...or the lack thereof.  The humility to run the ball week in and week out will be the most uncomfortable career experience that Manning shall endure on his way to a championship season.  He can endure a game or two of ball control offense, but under stress (ie., any game against the Patriots/Belichick/Brady) Manning reverts to his comfort zone.

Gase has finally introduced himself recently in the nature of the running attack that started to become the buzz of the NFL up until last week.  Coach Manning and Coach Fox both quickly took ownership for their failure to execute the age old formula for winning tough games on the road; run the ball and control the clock.  Coach Gase seems to be in good graces\ with the doctrine of John (Elway), so he is the only voice in the news this week that's is blaming poor execution on the field and not himself like the other two coaches have suddenly begun doing.

Few should have expected the Broncos to go on the road and win that game, but the surety of the run attack that they had developed in the previous games was reminiscent of high level little league football with the 3 or 4 teams that have a quarterback that can pass.  The teams that pass too much rarely win the Superbowl, even in little league, while teams that never pass seem to get shocked by a timely passes in here and there.  Whether little league or NFL, balance is the key to the chess match, and the chess match is the key to the crown.

No matter how ugly the page, every team has to be on the same sheet of paper to truly be successful.  Elway wrote the script for championship journey's at the latter stages of one's quarterbacking career. His doctrine is law and he is not leaving it to chance that EVERYONE, including coaches, recognizes the plan.  Paying for one high profile defensive player is a nice addition- adding three is a definitive statement to the entire league.  Emmanuel Sanders might prove to be the best free agent acquisition, but he was a less expensive swap that happened to work out.  This team was built to play defense and defensive approaches begin with  the run game.

The Broncos had better return to a run-first, defensive approach or Coach Fox and Coach Manning will be sounding more and more like they are preaching the Gospel of John.  Elway is a "no excuse" kind of person and the compulsion to take ownership for your own crap is Elwayian for certain.  The more Manning and Fox face the music says they've spent time in Father John's confessional box.  And what did Father John prescribe for his flag football loving quarterback and the coach who allows it?

Tell the world how bad you played in the game, even though you produced nearly 500 yards, and tell assistant coach Fox to review the Seattle Superbowl tapes in which his team didn't even step off of the plane, and then both of you take ownership for fixing the problems instead of doing your customary asshole interviews.

If this team needs a divine intervention to make it all the way, father John is going to do his part. To that I say, Amen.

Wednesday, November 5, 2014

Hickenlooper Wins? Maybe There Is Hope For Mankind Afterall

I'll admit it.  I've been in a state of blogging depression for some time now (see; writers block).

Not that I haven't had anything to say, but nothing new to say, especially in a country that has decided to do a time warp on political issues that make me cry when I think about how regressive we've become.  I say regressive in the hopeful mindset of believing that we had actually progressed beyond the debate on abortion.  I know we are working our way through this homosexuality concern that some have described as  America's contribution to the apocalypse, but nothing, and I sincerely mean nothing, makes me more sad than the idea that we would discourage any person from voting in America.

Several weeks ago, when my sadness reached its precipice, Ohioan's were learning that they would not have the additional week or the extra time after work to cast their votes since a ruling had been approved to close the ballots by 6pm in Ohio, a state notorious for congestion at the polls. The rise in the use of mail ballots is working to eliminate those who would care to curtail the vote, but Georgia mysteriously lost over 50,000 registrations that were pulled due to "discrepancies".

Gerrymandering (re-drawing voting districts) used to be the only certain method that was being used to distort the environment of political competition (and both parties play that game), so learning about voter suppression left me perplexed about the America I was taught in the school books that we read.

I'll admit even more.  I was a lazy student that didn't always pay attention (especially in algebra) so I could have missed something in History class regarding federal voting laws.  Who knew that voter suppression efforts never actually died but sat patiently waiting for statutes of limitations to run out and were thus being thwarted by ongoing federal counter measures. I know that we've been told that voting matters, but I never quite realized that our actual right to vote would, once again, be at stake.

Regressive behavior towards human sexuality is sad, and rehashed abortion debates are odd, but voter suppression is infuriating to me in a way that I can not actually put into words; partially because there is little to be said about the preservation behaviors of people with power, but mostly because nobody gives a damn about voting anyway.  To argue for the right to vote is to argue for millions who have no clue what they are being asked to participate in.  Some of those people are young folks who simply don't care to stop and listen to a bunch of blow hards tell you why the other blow hard sucks more than they do....so vote for me; but some of those folks are old timers who realize that the guy you vote for today might close a bridge in retribution tomorrow.

Its simply depressing to watch 85% of Ireland participate in their monumental election (in which they voted to remain a part of the UK), but it only served as a reminder of how sad I already had become, and why I deserved to be even sadder if I wanted.  I could have written some eloquent argument for the necessity of voting, or an even better one for the depravity of suppressing democracy, but I would have been arguing on behalf of no one and towards the ear of the wind.  Those who might have read it (or will read this) already vote, and those who do not care have a litany of legitimate reasons that even I can no longer challenge.

I have always been politically engaged, but my children have never been forced to do the same.  Some of them have found their way into political action while others will ask me who is who and what do they stand for? When I am truly challenged to deliver on that loaded question, I realize that I am ill-equipped to tell them what any person we send to congress stands for.  I can tell you what the party they claim stands for, but whether or not that person you waste time going to the polls to elect will do the job that you elect them to do is now totally a wait and see proposition.

Republicans who seem enthused with the outcomes of yesterdays elections should remember that this type of wave was as predictable this time around as it will be in two years when loads of Republican seats come under the same "every two year" heat that history has always placed on members of congress. The fact that it took so much Koch for republicans to keep history from taking a dramatic u-turn is a bigger story to those who understand the dynamics of mid-term elections.  Moreover, politicians often fail to realize that a political wave mandate washes away the excuses against doing the job you were hired to perform.

President Obama, who is just as conservative as the congressional republicans that won during yesterdays wave election, just spilled some drool on his tan suit coat at the notion of getting those bleeding heart liberals out of his way so that he can finish the TPP (Trans Pacific Partnership) that he started some time ago.  He will have to give in on the pipeline deal, but he has only been using that as a negotiating tool in the first place.  His aversion to expanding the Alaskan pipeline has always been the political detriment that it would cause within his own party, but lame ducks that don't even get to quack for prospective democrats during mid-term elections no longer need to uphold an allegiance, even to those he shares a party label with.

In an odd twist of irony, Mitch McConnell survived a hearty challenge against his long held congressional seat and will now become the majority leader in the house.  The man who declared his plan to make Obama a one-term president will now have to resist the urge to repeal Obama's signature healthcare law and/or impeach the bum altogether.  Such efforts will shut down the progress that could, and should be made over the next two years, especially if republicans hope to minimize the damage from the 2016 tsunami headed their way.

Republican committee chairperson Reince Preibus seemed to believe that their ground game did what their ground game was supposed to do.  He even went as far as to credit former White House press secretary Robert Gibbs (now an MSNBC analyst) for the ground attack that he, and the Obama campaign team, turned into a model for political guerilla marketing.  Before Preibus gets too excited, he should compare yesterdays turnout to that of the past elections and he might just save those Koch cats a lot of loot in 2016.

People who don't know or didn't care still don't know or care.  Some people care but stay home because they got locked up once and no longer deserve a voice. We are happy to tax them just like we tax everybody else, but any former felon who runs a business does not get to impact who represents them in congress.  The felons that we reject from voting are probably the only ones who have a legitimate opinion on all of those judges that nobody has a clue about, one way or the other, yet every two years even active voters are asked to decide which judge keeps a job or not?

When my daughter, who doesn't vote in odd elections, explained that she doesn't care to make a mistake with an uneducated selection, I immediately reminded myself of all of those judges that I never have the time to research individually.  If I can give myself a pass for not doing my due diligence regarding that civic duty, why beat up people who have no clue about which congressman to choose when the only impression they ever get is the negative attack ads that are used to garner votes?  Was Mark Udall really against the pipeline expansion or was he simply supporting the president who had chosen to make it into a political pawn?  Did Cory Gardner really want to lock up people who have abortions?  If not, why did Colorado have a bill that tried to do such a thing?

It all came to a destructive head for me when I had to accept that nobody (or at least half of the American electorate) really cares about voting like that, and those who care have a millions reasons why they could stop caring at the drop of a hat.  We are jaded by the whole thing and nothing to date has given us a reason to believe that anything will get better, except one thing.

Hickenlooper won.

Of all of the things that happened last night, nearly all could have been predicted. A few races had some questionable polls, but Vegas odds would have leaned towards the exact results that we all woke up to see.  The pundits figured that the overdose of Koch would leave everyone wide awake last night waiting on results that the Koch machine was designed to force into the favor of republicans.  When it was all said and done, the only seat that got sticky from Koch was John Hickenloopers governor seat.  By winning the republican senatorial seat back from democrats, republicans in Colorado accomplished something that has been 12 years in the waiting.  Such a feat had to give them high hopes as 80% of the precincts had been counted and their guy, Bob Beauprez, had a 48% to 47% lead.

As it turned out, those final 20% were mostly Hicklenloopers peeps who didn't need to get to know who he was nor figure out what he stands for.  John Hickenlooper is the guy who, in 2014, still refuses to run attack ads.  His opponent used that as an opportunity to attack him with impunity.  They even attacked him for not attacking, but quickly changed that line of attack as it sounded kind of tacky every time the ad ran on television or radio. Sitting and watching republicans win all over the country and realizing that my guy, the last politician with integrity, had to fight for his political life, was about to be the final straw on the weight of depression I've been feeling towards this country where no one seems to care anymore.

And then I woke up to the announcement that Hickenlooper had come from behind to win the Colorado governorship. Without being negative or focusing on anything but his own agenda for our state, Hickenlooper defied the pundits and pulled me out of my depression all at the same time.  Democrat voting patterns were predictably dismal, but if 20% of votes came in for Hickenlooper late in the night, why didn't those votes help Udall much?

The great takeaway is that the voice of the people will always be heard in the end.  Passing any federal legislation over the next two years will demand bi-partisan efforts and the acceptance that president Obama will walk away with the credit for whatever positive ideas we enact under his leadership.  After the pipeline moves forward, the immigration/minimum wage/marriage equality/ felon reinstatement issues carry massive support nationwide while expanded abortion restrictions do not. More than anything, WE still value, reward and come out to support integrity.

I had grown so disillusioned with the lack of voting (that keeps allowing suppression measures) that I forgot to remember that not voting is a vote of another kind.  It is not our job to figure out which judge deserves to keep their job, its their job to not give cause to vote them out.   Every statistical analysis of post election results says that there should be a new governor in Colorado, but elections are not as haphazard as our low turnout makes it feel at times.  People respond to the things that matter to them, and while right to lifers might have thought they could take advantage of low democrat turnout patterns to try and criminalize abortion in Colorado, the measure failed resoundingly and Hickenlooper survived their best punch.

I know that Colorado is God's country so I shouldn't need another reason to love the state that I live.  Just when I was about to wash my hands of apathetic citizens, I was reminded to never mistake tired for lazy.

Way to go Colorado.  You make me proud.